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Built for U.S. markets · Erie County pilot data

Signal Intelligence

The listing is the last signal.
NestIQ reads the first ones.

Signals are observable patterns in public records — tax delinquency, estate filings, ownership tenure, absentee status — that precede a sale by months. NestIQ monitors them continuously and ranks every parcel by the strength of evidence for near-term seller motivation.

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Signal Compounding

Evidence compounds.
Priority follows.

One signal is a flag. Three confirmed signals is a thesis. When tax delinquency, long tenure, and absentee ownership appear on the same parcel, seller probability increases nonlinearly. The composite score reflects that.

Tax Arrears
45
Single signal — Tax Arrears only
Tax ArrearsLong Tenure
68
Two signals — Tax Arrears + Long Tenure
Tax ArrearsLong TenureAbsentee Owner
88
Three signals — Tax Arrears + Long Tenure + Absentee
Tax Distress

Delinquency is a deadline. We track who's approaching one.

County courthouses publish tax foreclosure filings, delinquent rolls, and lis pendens notices continuously. Most acquisition teams never see them. NestIQ ingests each filing as it publishes.

Every event is matched to a parcel — address, owner, filing type, date — and surfaced with full context. No manual cross-referencing. No lag between filing and your queue.

Tax distress is time-sensitive by nature. An owner facing a filing has a finite window before resolution becomes forced. That window is when outreach lands.

Tax ForeclosureDelinquent TaxLis Pendens
TAX FORECLOSURE
4497 Freeman Rd
Orchard Park, NY 14127
FiledErie County Court
StatusActive
Days since filing38
Delinquent TaxLis Pendens
Probate / Estate

Heirs inherit property. They don't always want it.

Probate creates sellers who didn't choose to sell. Executors and estate administrators face carrying costs, tax obligations, and legal timelines — often with no attachment to the property. These deals rarely reach the MLS before an operator finds them.

NestIQ monitors probate docket activity and matches filings to parcel records, surfacing estate status, jurisdiction, and filing date in your queue as events are processed.

Probate is strongest as a compound signal. An estate with long-held tenure and absentee heirs represents a property with significant equity and a clear disposition need — owned by someone who isn't living there and didn't choose to own it.

Probate FilingEstate Transfer
PROBATE FILING
110 S Meadow Dr
Hamburg, NY 14075
DocketErie County Surrogate
Filed45 days ago
Estate statusOpen
Signal weight: 24 pts
Long Tenure

21 years of equity. One change from converting it.

An owner who has held a property for 20 years has watched significant equity accumulate — and likely significant life change. Retirement, relocation, estate planning: the conditions that precede a sale build slowly and rarely announce themselves.

Long tenure alone is a latent signal. Paired with tax delinquency or a probate filing, it becomes one of the strongest predictors of near-term motivation in the dataset — an owner under pressure with maximum equity to unlock.

NestIQ computes tenure in years for every parcel directly from deed records. Long-hold properties with emerging distress surface at the right moment — not after the window has already closed.

Long Tenure (>10yr)Very Long Tenure (>20yr)
Ownership Tenure
21
years
Owner since2005
Deed recordedJun 14, 2005
Tenure bandVery Long (>20yr)
+ Tax Arrears detected
Absentee Owner

The owner left. The opportunity didn't.

When tax bills go somewhere other than the property, the owner isn't living there. That gap — between where they live and what they own — is meaningful context: investor-held, inherited, or relocated ownership often signals lower attachment and higher motivation to sell.

NestIQ computes absentee status by comparing mailing records against parcel addresses at enrichment time. State-level mismatches — a property in NY, an owner in FL — score with higher confidence.

Absentee status alone doesn't move a property to the top of the queue. Combined with tax distress, probate, or long tenure, it becomes one of the clearest signals of a reachable owner who carries the cost of a property they no longer use.

Absentee Owner
Absentee Confirmed
PARCEL ADDRESS
88 Lakewood Dr, Cheektowaga, NY
MAILING ADDRESS
Tampa, FL 33602
Address mismatchConfirmed
State mismatchNY → FL
Signal statusTracked

Data Freshness

Signals expire. Ours don't.

A tax filing from six months ago is resolved or irrelevant. Freshness isn't a feature — it's the baseline requirement for a signal to have value. NestIQ re-ingests from source as county records update, so every item in your queue reflects current status.

⟳

Tax events re-ingested as new county lists publish

⧖

Probate records are matched as docket activity is processed

◎

Tenure computed at enrichment — not estimated

Your competitors start at the MLS.
You don't have to.

NestIQ is launching with Erie County first. Join the waitlist and we'll reach out as rollout access opens for your market.

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